Sperling Prostate Center

Low PSA? It May Be Prostate Cancer in Disguise

UPDATE: August 26, 2026
Originally published Jul. 31, 2024

There are two big prostate cancer (PCa) problems. First, some aggressive PCa cases (roughly 15%) do not cause an abnormal rise in PSA—making early detection difficult.[i] Second, PSA itself is not specific for PCa; a high blood test result does not necessarily mean cancer.

To correct both of these problems in a single stroke, a multinational team of researchers proposes using the Stockholm3 risk score rather than a standard PSA test. Stockholm3 includes PSA but with additional factors that are more sensitive to rule clinically significant PCa in or out: free PSA; genes KLK2, GDF15, PSP94; germline risk; age; family history; and previous negative biopsy.

Stockholm3 has been validated in over 90,000 cases, but data is primarily from White men. Therefore, the team published a comparison of PSA alone vs. Stockholm3 across various ethnicities/races.[ii] They included 2,129 cases (16% Asian, 24% Black, 14% Hispanic, and 46% White or other).

Their results showed that Stockholm3 scores has noninferior sensitivity compared with PSA ?4, but nearly 3x higher specificity! This was consistent across all ethnicities.

They concluded that not only would this improve detection of clinically significant PCa in men with PSA <3, it would rule out clinically significant men with higher PSA, thus avoiding unnecessary biopsies.

Read the original blog below to learn more about aggressive PCa cell lines that don’t express PSA.

 

The pages of history, biology, true crime and comic books are filled with tales of trickery using disguise. Such camouflage has its uses as a way to cloak one’s true identity or hide in plain sight. The Boston Tea Party was staged by colonists decked out as “Mohawk” Indians. Chameleons command nanocrystals in their skin to blend with their surroundings. Convicted felon Tyler Adams was such a successful master of disguise that he eluded capture for four years. And of course, Superman protected his unique powers by assuming the identity of meek, mild-mannered Clark Kent (hard to believe that muscled torso didn’t strain the seams of a reporter’s modest business suit).

When typical prostate cancer (PCa) is in its early stages, there are no stages to reveal its presence. However, as the cancer cells gradually become more numerous and a tumor begins to grow, its activity stimulates the expression {release) of a protein called prostate specific antigen, or PSA, into the blood stream. As a rule of thumb, the bigger or faster growing the tumor, the more PSA is expressed. The amount can be measured through a simple PSA blood test used to screen for PCa.

Though other noncancerous conditions can provoke a rise in PSA, a higher-than-expected test result arouses suspicion of PCa. If cancer is indeed the culprit, the higher the PSA, the greater cause for worry. In fact, if a patient is diagnosed with PCa, his PSA at the time of diagnosis is taken into account as one of the risk factors indicating how aggressive the tumor is. For instance, if a newly diagnosed patient has a PSA of 17.4 ng/mL, his doctor is likely to be more concerned than if his PSA was 3.9 ng/mL. Other tests (MRI, genomics) and family history will help match treatment to the severity of the disease.

Low PSA could be hiding dangerous disease

But wait! There is an uncommon but important exception to the rule that a high PSA signals danger. An April 12, 2024 online article in Renal&Urology News reports, “Clinically significant prostate cancer is found in a ‘non-negligible’ number of men who have screening PSA levels of 1.8 or higher but less than 3.0 ng/mL, according to recent study findings.” In other words, we can’t count on a low PSA to mean that a man is free from potentially deadly cancer.

The study in question was a large Swedish population-based analysis of PSA screening. The team of authors wrote, “17974 men choose to participate by having a PSA test (2015-2020). One-third of the participants (n = 6006) were randomized to arm 3, men with a PSA value of ?1.8 ng/ml were recommended for MRI. Men with positive MRI (PI-RADS 3-5) had four targeted biopsies from each MRI-visible lesion.”[iii] Out of the 6006, 670 (11%) had a PSA between a low PSA group defined as PSA between 1.8 and 3.0 ng/mL. From this group, PCa was diagnosed in 64 men whose MRI scans were positive on the PI-RADS scale; 33 of them had insignificant disease on biopsy (Gleason 6) while 31 were found with significant PCa (Gleason 7 or higher). In other words, low PSA can be misleading when it disguises aggressive PCa in an unsuspecting man. How can that be?

Well, there are PCa cell lines that have aggressive biology but that don’t express PSA. In 2023, a British team published a paper entitled “A low prostate specific antigen predicts a worse outcome in high but not in low/intermediate-grade prostate cancer.”[iv] In a statistical analysis of data on over 100,000 PCa patients, the British team found that men diagnosed with high grade PCa who had a low PSA at the time of diagnosis had a high probability of worse outcomes. These findings add to an observation first published in 2016 of poorer outcomes for men with high-grade PCa but low PSA.

Although this occurrence is relatively rare compared with most PCa cases detected early thanks to a higher-than-normal PSA screening test, it tells us that militant cancer cells can be tricky. Like the legend of ancient Greek soldiers who infiltrated the walled city of Troy disguised as a gift—a huge wooden horse—aggressive PCa can infiltrate the fortress of the body camouflaged as a harmless low PSA.

If you have a family history of prostate or breast cancer, especially in first-degree relatives, talk to your doctor about extra vigilance. After your next PSA, it may be worthwhile to discuss the merits of having a baseline multiparametric MRI as a precaution. Keep in mind that in the Swedish study, the men in the low-PSA group who were diagnosed with significant PCa only found it through MRI. Beware of a “Supercancer” disguised as a meek, mild-mannered low PSA.

NOTE: This content is solely for purposes of information and does not substitute for diagnostic or medical advice. Talk to your doctor if you are experiencing pelvic pain, or have any other health concerns or questions of a personal medical nature.

References

[i] Carter HB. Prostate cancers in men with low PSA levels–must we find them? N Engl J Med. 2004 May 27;350(22):2292-4.
[iii] Möller F, Månsson M, Wallström J, Hellström M et al. Cancers in the Prostate-specific Antigen Interval of 1.8-3 ng/ml: Results from the Göteborg-2 Prostate Cancer Screening Trial. Eur Urol. 2024 Mar 14:S0302-2838(24)00052-6.
[iv] Fankhauser CD, Parry MG, Ali A, Cowling TE et al. A low prostate specific antigen predicts a worse outcome in high but not in low/intermediate-grade prostate cancer. European Journal of Cancer, Volume 181, 2023. 70-78.

 

About Dr. Dan Sperling

Dan Sperling, MD, DABR, is a board certified radiologist who is globally recognized as a leader in multiparametric MRI for the detection and diagnosis of a range of disease conditions. As Medical Director of the Sperling Prostate Center, Sperling Medical Group and Sperling Neurosurgery Associates, he and his team are on the leading edge of significant change in medical practice. He is the co-author of the new patient book Redefining Prostate Cancer, and is a contributing author on over 25 published studies. For more information, contact the Sperling Prostate Center.

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